AI-Native Quant Hedge Fund

36 stocks across US & Indian markets, plus theme-driven small-cap portfolios — chosen by AI for high-conviction growth potential. We measure whether AI-driven thesis analysis can predict stock direction and beat the benchmark net of transaction costs — live, in public, with every call timestamped.

36 Stocks in Cohort
Feb 25, 2026 Tracking Since
Day 101 of Daily Monitoring

Three independently-verifiable proof metrics. All data is public. All predictions are timestamped.

Thesis Status
2 Strong 25 Maint. 5 Weak 4 Broken
Should diversify over time as news impacts theses.
Quarterly Business Prediction Accuracy Coming
Awaiting data
Every assumption has a concrete quarterly target. When earnings arrive, we check: did the target get met? If the AI said “on track” and the target was met — correct. If the AI said “in trouble” and the target was missed — also correct. Mismatches are failures. Higher accuracy = the AI is reading the news correctly.
After first earnings cycle (~Jun 2026)
Does the AI Pick Winners? Fail
-8.90% long-short spread
Hit rate (Buy): 21.1% (4/19)
Hit rate (Sell): 35.7% (5/14)
Buy return: -6.86%
Sell return: +2.04%
⚠ Unstable signals: HDFCBANK (6.2/90d), RELIANCE (6.2/90d), INDIGO (5.3/90d), MARUTI (10.7/90d), LT (4.5/90d), SBIN (5.3/90d), ITC (7.1/90d), GOOGL (4.4/90d), AAPL (6.2/90d), MSFT (5.3/90d), AXISBANK (10.7/90d), TATASTEEL (7.1/90d), TRENT (4.5/90d)
Spread > 0 and hit rate > 60% = success. One vote per stock per bucket. Min 7-day holding.
After 3-6 months (~Sep 2026)
Does the AI Beat the Market? Pass
+4.49% blended alpha (gross)
+2.88% blended alpha (net of costs)
INDIA (30 stocks vs. BSE_SENSEX)
Portfolio: -5.76%
Benchmark: -8.67%
Alpha (gross): +2.91%
Turnover: +962.01%
Cost drag: -1.92%
Alpha (net): +0.98%
US (6 stocks vs. NASDAQ)
Portfolio: +25.82%
Benchmark: +13.42%
Alpha (gross): +12.41%
Turnover: +98.21%
Cost drag: -0.05%
Alpha (net): +12.36%
Success = the AI portfolio beats at least one market index. Uses the actual fund NAV — Buy-rated stocks receive higher conviction-weighted allocation, Hold/Sell stocks receive the remainder equally. Rebalanced daily. Net alpha accounts for estimated transaction costs (India: ~0.20%/round-trip, US: ~0.05%/round-trip).

36-Stock Proof Cohort

Hand-curated portfolio of 6 US + 30 Indian stocks across 25 sectors. Every assumption graded daily by AI against real-time news.

Thesis Status: Strong Maintaining Weak Broken
Valuation: Cheap Fair Expensive Bubble
Signal: Buy Hold Sell
Confidence: High Moderate Low — near threshold
ADANIPORTS
Last Price ₹1,824.20
Sector Port & Port services
SignalHold
Conviction 83/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation FAIR (PEG)
Archetype GROWTH
GOOGL
Last Price $368.53
Sector Communication Services
SignalSell
Conviction 71/100 BROKEN
Valuation FAIR (PEG)
Archetype GROWTH
AAPL
Last Price $307.34
Sector Technology
SignalSell
Conviction 73/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation EXPENSIVE (PE)
Archetype INCOME VALUE
ASIANPAINT
Last Price ₹2,686.70
Sector Paints
SignalHold
Conviction 63/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation FAIR (PE)
Archetype INCOME VALUE
AXISBANK
Last Price ₹1,272.30
Sector Private Sector Bank
SignalHold
Conviction 60/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation FAIR (PB)
Archetype INCOME VALUE
BAJFINANCE
Last Price ₹889.40
Sector Non Banking Financial Company (NBFC)
SignalBuy
Conviction 70/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation CHEAP (PB)
Archetype GROWTH
BAJAJFINSV
Last Price ₹1,703.20
Sector Holding Company
SignalHold
Conviction 57/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation FAIR (PEG)
Archetype GROWTH
BEL
Last Price ₹408.20
Sector Aerospace & Defense
SignalBuy
Conviction 88/100 STRONG
Valuation FAIR (PEG)
Archetype GROWTH
BHARTIARTL
Last Price ₹1,798.20
Sector Telecom - Cellular & Fixed line services
SignalHold
Conviction 74/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation FAIR (PEG)
Archetype GROWTH
ETERNAL
Last Price ₹256.50
Sector E-Retail/ E-Commerce
SignalSell
Conviction 43/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation BUBBLE (PEG)
Archetype GROWTH
HCLTECH
Last Price ₹1,154.70
Sector Computers - Software & Consulting
SignalHold
Conviction 49/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation FAIR (PE)
Archetype INCOME VALUE
HDFCBANK
Last Price ₹747.05
Sector Private Sector Bank
SignalHold
Conviction 58/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation FAIR (PB)
Archetype INCOME VALUE
HINDUNILVR
Last Price ₹2,121.50
Sector Diversified FMCG
SignalHold
Conviction 76/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation FAIR (PE·PEG)
Archetype INCOME VALUE
ICICIBANK
Last Price ₹1,262.10
Sector Private Sector Bank
SignalHold
Conviction 77/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation FAIR (PB)
Archetype INCOME VALUE
INFY
Last Price ₹1,197.50
Sector Computers - Software & Consulting
SignalBuy
Conviction 69/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation CHEAP (PE)
Archetype INCOME VALUE
INDIGO
Last Price ₹4,481.30
Sector Airline
SignalSell
Conviction 15/100 BROKEN
Valuation FAIR (EV_EBITDA)
Archetype CYCLICAL
ITC
Last Price ₹280.70
Sector Diversified FMCG
SignalBuy
Conviction 59/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation CHEAP (PE)
Archetype INCOME VALUE
KOTAKBANK
Last Price ₹377.45
Sector Private Sector Bank
SignalHold
Conviction 73/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation FAIR (PB)
Archetype INCOME VALUE
LT
Last Price ₹3,953.20
Sector Civil Construction
SignalBuy
Conviction 86/100 STRONG
Valuation FAIR (PE)
Archetype INCOME VALUE
M&M
Last Price ₹3,040.50
Sector Passenger Cars & Utility Vehicles
SignalHold
Conviction 67/100 WEAK
Valuation FAIR (EV_EBITDA)
Archetype CYCLICAL
MARUTI
Last Price ₹13,050.00
Sector Passenger Cars & Utility Vehicles
SignalHold
Conviction 68/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation FAIR (EV_EBITDA)
Archetype CYCLICAL
META
Last Price $593.00
Sector Communication Services
SignalSell
Conviction 60/100 BROKEN
Valuation FAIR (PEG)
Archetype GROWTH
MU
Last Price $864.01
Sector Technology
SignalBuy
Conviction 88/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation CHEAP (PEG)
Archetype GROWTH
MSFT
Last Price $416.67
Sector Technology
SignalSell
Conviction 74/100 WEAK
Valuation FAIR (PEG)
Archetype GROWTH
NTPC
Last Price ₹361.65
Sector Power Generation
SignalBuy
Conviction 63/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation CHEAP (PEG)
Archetype GROWTH
POWERGRID
Last Price ₹285.65
Sector Power - Transmission
SignalHold
Conviction 68/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation FAIR (PE)
Archetype INCOME VALUE
RELIANCE
Last Price ₹1,291.00
Sector Refineries & Marketing
SignalSell
Conviction 66/100 WEAK
Valuation FAIR (PEG)
Archetype GROWTH
SBIN
Last Price ₹977.70
Sector Public Sector Bank
SignalHold
Conviction 54/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation FAIR (PB)
Archetype INCOME VALUE
SUNPHARMA
Last Price ₹1,782.20
Sector Pharmaceuticals
SignalSell
Conviction 66/100 WEAK
Valuation FAIR (PEG)
Archetype GROWTH
TCS
Last Price ₹2,198.90
Sector Computers - Software & Consulting
SignalSell
Conviction 66/100 BROKEN
Valuation CHEAP (PE)
Archetype INCOME VALUE
TATASTEEL
Last Price ₹206.77
Sector Iron & Steel
SignalHold
Conviction 77/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation FAIR (EV_EBITDA)
Archetype CYCLICAL
TECHM
Last Price ₹1,483.50
Sector Computers - Software & Consulting
SignalHold
Conviction 73/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation FAIR (PEG)
Archetype GROWTH
TSLA
Last Price $391.00
Sector Consumer Cyclical
SignalSell
Conviction 55/100 WEAK
Valuation BUBBLE (PEG)
Archetype GROWTH
TITAN
Last Price ₹4,260.20
Sector Gems, Jewellery And Watches
SignalSell
Conviction 71/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation BUBBLE (PEG)
Archetype GROWTH
TRENT
Last Price ₹2,774.20
Sector Speciality Retail
SignalHold
Conviction 65/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation EXPENSIVE (PEG)
Archetype GROWTH
ULTRACEMCO
Last Price ₹10,912.00
Sector Cement & Cement Products
SignalHold
Conviction 65/100 MAINTAINING
Valuation FAIR (EV_EBITDA)
Archetype CYCLICAL

Full Research Coverage

60 additional companies tracked · Last refreshed Jun 06, 2026

Sort:
AMD MAINTAINING 60 BUBBLE (PEG)

Advanced Micro Devices Inc

Price $521.54
Signal Sell
Archetype GROWTH
Technology US: AMD
AGARIND MAINTAINING 61 FAIR (EV_EBITDA)

Agarwal Industrial Corporation Ltd

Price ₹512.65
Signal Hold
Archetype CYCLICAL
Petrochemicals NSE: AGARIND
524634 MAINTAINING 53 CHEAP (EV_EBITDA)

Alufluoride Ltd

Price ₹462.75
Signal Hold
Archetype CYCLICAL
Commodity Chemicals BSE: 524634
AMZN STRONG 92 FAIR (PEG)

Amazon.com, Inc.

Price $246.03
Signal Buy
Archetype GROWTH
Consumer Cyclical US: AMZN
APP MAINTAINING 71 FAIR (PEG)

Applovin Corp

Price $557.20
Signal Hold
Archetype GROWTH
Communication Services US: APP
BHARATFORG MAINTAINING 48 EXPENSIVE (EV_EBITDA)

Bharat Forge Ltd

Price ₹1,929.80
Signal Buy
Archetype CYCLICAL
Auto Components & Equipments NSE: BHARATFORG
BBW MAINTAINING 52 CHEAP (EV_EBITDA)

Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc

Price $33.97
Signal Hold
Archetype CYCLICAL
Consumer Cyclical US: BBW
CAPLIPOINT MAINTAINING 71 CHEAP (PEG)

Caplin Point Laboratories Ltd

Price ₹2,033.10
Signal Buy
Archetype GROWTH
Pharmaceuticals NSE: CAPLIPOINT
CDSL MAINTAINING 46 EXPENSIVE (PEG)

Central Depository Services (India) Ltd

Price ₹1,217.50
Signal Hold
Archetype GROWTH
Depositories, Clearing Houses and Other Intermediaries NSE: CDSL
CERA MAINTAINING 67 FAIR (PE)

Cera Sanitaryware Ltd

Price ₹5,512.50
Signal Hold
Archetype INCOME VALUE
Sanitary Ware NSE: CERA
CIFR MAINTAINING 53 EXPENSIVE (PB)

Cipher Mining Inc.

Price $22.45
Signal Hold
Archetype GROWTH
Financial Services US: CIFR
COALINDIA MAINTAINING 69 FAIR (PE·PEG)

Coal India Ltd

Price ₹472.30
Signal Hold
Archetype INCOME VALUE
Coal NSE: COALINDIA
DATAPATTNS MAINTAINING 65 FAIR (PEG)

Data Patterns (India) Ltd

Price ₹4,212.60
Signal Hold
Archetype GROWTH
Aerospace & Defense NSE: DATAPATTNS
FDX MAINTAINING 69 CHEAP (EV_EBITDA)

Fedex Corp

Price $331.00
Signal Hold
Archetype CYCLICAL
Industrials US: FDX
FLNC MAINTAINING 51 EXPENSIVE (PS)

Fluence Energy, Inc.

Price $22.91
Signal Hold
Archetype GROWTH
Utilities US: FLNC
URA MAINTAINING 68

Global X Uranium ETF

Price $45.31
Signal
Archetype CYCLICAL
ETF US: URA
GRAVITA MAINTAINING 59 FAIR (PEG)

Gravita India Ltd

Price ₹1,630.70
Signal Hold
Archetype GROWTH
Industrial Minerals NSE: GRAVITA
HBLENGINE MAINTAINING 67 CHEAP (PEG)

HBL Engineering Ltd

Price ₹794.95
Signal Buy
Archetype GROWTH
Other Industrial Products NSE: HBLENGINE
HIMS MAINTAINING 58 FAIR (PS)

Hims & Hers Health, Inc.

Price $26.19
Signal Hold
Archetype GROWTH
Healthcare US: HIMS
HINDALCO MAINTAINING 85 EXPENSIVE (EV_EBITDA)

Hindalco Industries Ltd

Price ₹1,092.60
Signal Buy
Archetype CYCLICAL
Aluminium NSE: HINDALCO
HUT MAINTAINING 77 EXPENSIVE (PB)

Hut 8 Corp.

Price $112.24
Signal Hold
Archetype GROWTH
Financial Services US: HUT
IDFCFIRSTB BROKEN 42 FAIR (PB)

IDFC First Bank Ltd

Price ₹72.35
Signal Sell
Archetype GROWTH
Private Sector Bank NSE: IDFCFIRSTB
INDHOTEL MAINTAINING 73 FAIR (PEG)

Indian Hotels Co Ltd

Price ₹657.60
Signal Hold
Archetype GROWTH
Hotels & Resorts NSE: INDHOTEL
IREN MAINTAINING 80 EXPENSIVE (PB)

Iren Ltd

Price $54.35
Signal Hold
Archetype GROWTH
Financial Services US: IREN
IBIT MAINTAINING 69

Ishares Bitcoin Trust Etf

Price $34.14
Signal
Archetype GROWTH
ETF US: IBIT
EEM MAINTAINING 63

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF

Price $64.59
Signal
Archetype CYCLICAL
ETF US: EEM
KOTHARIPET WEAK 54 CHEAP (EV_EBITDA)

Kothari Petrochemicals Ltd

Price ₹118.10
Signal Sell
Archetype CYCLICAL
Petrochemicals NSE: KOTHARIPET
LYB MAINTAINING 61 CHEAP (EV_EBITDA)

Lyondellbasell Industries N.V.

Price $64.50
Signal Hold
Archetype CYCLICAL
Basic Materials US: LYB
MTARTECH MAINTAINING 85 BUBBLE (PEG)

MTAR Technologies Ltd

Price ₹7,535.50
Signal Sell
Archetype GROWTH
Aerospace & Defense NSE: MTARTECH
NH MAINTAINING 72 EXPENSIVE (PEG)

Narayana Hrudayalaya Ltd

Price ₹1,969.20
Signal Hold
Archetype GROWTH
Hospital NSE: NH
NFLX MAINTAINING 80 FAIR (PEG)

Netflix Inc

Price $83.33
Signal Hold
Archetype GROWTH
Communication Services US: NFLX
NU MAINTAINING 61 CHEAP (PB)

Nu Holdings Ltd.

Price $11.93
Signal Buy
Archetype GROWTH
Financial Services US: NU
OBEROIRLTY MAINTAINING 68 CHEAP (EV_EBITDA)

Oberoi Realty Ltd

Price ₹1,633.40
Signal Hold
Archetype CYCLICAL
Residential, Commercial Projects NSE: OBEROIRLTY
OKLO MAINTAINING 58

Oklo Inc.

Price $58.09
Signal
Archetype GROWTH
Utilities US: OKLO
OPEN MAINTAINING 60

Opendoor Technologies Inc.

Price $4.42
Signal
Archetype TURNAROUND
Real Estate US: OPEN
ORCL WEAK 68 EXPENSIVE (PEG)

Oracle Corp

Price $213.68
Signal Sell
Archetype GROWTH
Technology US: ORCL
PARAS MAINTAINING 68 EXPENSIVE (PEG)

Paras Defence and Space Technologies Ltd

Price ₹960.15
Signal Hold
Archetype GROWTH
Aerospace & Defense NSE: PARAS
PBR BROKEN 24 CHEAP (EV_EBITDA)

Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa

Price $17.75
Signal Sell
Archetype CYCLICAL
Energy US: PBR
PRESTIGE MAINTAINING 72 EXPENSIVE (PEG)

Prestige Estates Projects Ltd

Price ₹1,381.10
Signal Hold
Archetype GROWTH
Residential, Commercial Projects NSE: PRESTIGE
PVRINOX MAINTAINING 80 CHEAP (EV_EBITDA)

PVR Inox Ltd

Price ₹973.25
Signal Hold
Archetype CYCLICAL
Film Production, Distribution & Exhibition NSE: PVRINOX
SARDAEN MAINTAINING 65 FAIR (EV_EBITDA)

Sarda Energy & Minerals Ltd

Price ₹546.55
Signal Hold
Archetype CYCLICAL
Iron & Steel NSE: SARDAEN
SE MAINTAINING 72 CHEAP (PEG)

Sea Ltd

Price $93.14
Signal Buy
Archetype GROWTH
Consumer Cyclical US: SE
SILVER MAINTAINING 61

SILVER

Price
Signal
Archetype CYCLICAL
US Equity US: SILVER
SOFI MAINTAINING 77 FAIR (PB)

Sofi Technologies, Inc.

Price $16.03
Signal Hold
Archetype GROWTH
Financial Services US: SOFI
SOLARINDS MAINTAINING 80 BUBBLE (PEG)

Solar Industries India Ltd

Price ₹18,441.00
Signal Sell
Archetype GROWTH
Explosives NSE: SOLARINDS
XLE MAINTAINING 70

State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF

Price $57.67
Signal
Archetype CYCLICAL
ETF US: XLE
STEELCAS MAINTAINING 50 EXPENSIVE (EV_EBITDA)

Steelcast Ltd

Price ₹287.05
Signal Buy
Archetype CYCLICAL
Castings & Forgings NSE: STEELCAS
MSTR WEAK 56 FAIR (PS)

Strategy Inc

Price $120.44
Signal Sell
Archetype GROWTH
Technology US: MSTR
TSM MAINTAINING 83 FAIR (PEG)

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd

Price $415.17
Signal Hold
Archetype GROWTH
Technology US: TSM
TANLA MAINTAINING 50 CHEAP (PEG)

Tanla Platforms Ltd

Price ₹517.15
Signal Buy
Archetype GROWTH
Software Products NSE: TANLA
TMCV MAINTAINING 89 CHEAP (EV_EBITDA)

Tata Motors Ltd

Price ₹369.15
Signal Hold
Archetype CYCLICAL
Commercial Vehicles NSE: TMCV
TMPV MAINTAINING 68 EXPENSIVE (EV_EBITDA)

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Ltd

Price ₹397.80
Signal Buy
Archetype CYCLICAL
Passenger Cars & Utility Vehicles NSE: TMPV
TINNARUBR MAINTAINING 76 FAIR (EV_EBITDA)

Tinna Rubber & Infrastructure Ltd

Price ₹869.60
Signal Hold
Archetype CYCLICAL
Rubber NSE: TINNARUBR
524717 MAINTAINING 64 EXPENSIVE (PEG)

Titan Biotech Ltd

Price ₹442.30
Signal Hold
Archetype GROWTH
Specialty Chemicals BSE: 524717
IDEA STRONG 96 EXPENSIVE (EV_EBITDA)

Vodafone Idea Ltd

Price ₹14.95
Signal Sell
Archetype TURNAROUND
Telecom - Cellular & Fixed line services NSE: IDEA
WMT MAINTAINING 67 FAIR (PE·PEG)

Walmart Inc.

Price $118.88
Signal Hold
Archetype INCOME VALUE
Consumer Defensive US: WMT
WY MAINTAINING 60 EXPENSIVE (EV_EBITDA)

Weyerhaeuser Co

Price $24.48
Signal Buy
Archetype CYCLICAL
Real Estate US: WY
WONDERLA MAINTAINING 56 FAIR (PE)

Wonderla Holidays Ltd

Price ₹475.90
Signal Hold
Archetype GROWTH
Amusement Parks/ Other Recreation NSE: WONDERLA
ZENTEC MAINTAINING 59 FAIR (PEG)

Zen Technologies Ltd

Price ₹1,815.30
Signal Hold
Archetype GROWTH
Aerospace & Defense NSE: ZENTEC
ZS MAINTAINING 64 CHEAP (PS)

Zscaler, Inc.

Price $130.78
Signal Buy
Archetype GROWTH
Technology US: ZS