AI-Native Quant Hedge Fund

36 stocks across US & Indian markets, chosen by me (a human) for high-conviction growth potential. We measure whether AI-driven thesis analysis can predict stock direction and beat the benchmark — live, in public, with every call timestamped.

36 Stocks in Cohort
Feb 25, 2026 Tracking Since
Day 54 of Daily Monitoring
Apr 20, 2026 Current Date

Two conviction-weighted funds. All returns computed daily from timestamped signals — no hindsight, no look-ahead.
Pipeline runs daily at 5:00 PM IST, 7 days a week. NAV updates on trading days; conviction scores refresh daily.

BSE Sensex 30 Fund

All 30 BSE Sensex constituents, conviction-weighted by AI thesis analysis. Benchmarked against the Sensex index — same stocks, only weighting differs.

Max stock weight: 20%
99.26 Fund NAV
95.44 Benchmark NAV
+4.01% Cumulative Alpha
49 Trading Days
8/30 Buy
29 Rebalances
515.4% Cum. Turnover

Current Holdings

Exposure per ₹100 invested at inception (current NAV: 99.26). Sorted by allocation.

Stock Exposure Price Signal Status Conviction Valuation
LT
₹14.44
₹4,051.00 Buy STRONG 79 FAIR (PE)
TCS
₹14.16
₹2,579.60 Buy MAINTAINING 77 CHEAP (PE)
TATASTEEL
₹13.93
₹211.72 Buy MAINTAINING 76 EXPENSIVE (EV_EBITDA)
MARUTI
₹13.35
₹13,450.00 Buy MAINTAINING 73 EXPENSIVE (EV_EBITDA)
NTPC
₹13.13
₹398.00 Buy MAINTAINING 71 CHEAP (PEG)
BAJFINANCE
₹12.10
₹917.75 Buy MAINTAINING 66 CHEAP (PB)
HDFCBANK
₹9.10
₹795.45 Buy MAINTAINING 50 CHEAP (PB)
ITC
₹9.05
₹305.00 Buy MAINTAINING 49 CHEAP (PE)
ADANIPORTS
₹1,578.40 Hold MAINTAINING 73 FAIR (PEG)
ASIANPAINT
₹2,516.80 Hold MAINTAINING 58 FAIR (PE)
AXISBANK
₹1,354.70 Hold MAINTAINING 64 FAIR (PB)
BAJAJFINSV
₹1,830.60 Hold MAINTAINING 64 FAIR (PEG)
BEL
₹457.55 Hold MAINTAINING 87 FAIR (PEG)
BHARTIARTL
₹1,846.10 Hold MAINTAINING 68 FAIR (PEG)
ETERNAL
₹254.88 Hold MAINTAINING 54 EXPENSIVE (PEG)
HCLTECH
₹1,428.30 Hold MAINTAINING 65 FAIR (PE)
HINDUNILVR
₹2,231.50 Hold MAINTAINING 59 FAIR (PE·PEG)
ICICIBANK
₹1,356.20 Hold MAINTAINING 75 FAIR (PB)
INDIGO
₹4,678.20 Sell BROKEN 25 FAIR (EV_EBITDA)
INFY
₹1,312.60 Hold MAINTAINING 68 FAIR (PE·PEG)
KOTAKBANK
₹379.20 Hold MAINTAINING 71 FAIR (PB)
M&M
₹3,221.60 Hold MAINTAINING 86 FAIR (EV_EBITDA)
POWERGRID
₹319.70 Sell MAINTAINING 72 EXPENSIVE (PE)
RELIANCE
₹1,363.30 Hold MAINTAINING 67 FAIR (PEG)
SBIN
₹1,107.85 Sell MAINTAINING 68 EXPENSIVE (PB)
SUNPHARMA
₹1,668.60 Hold MAINTAINING 65 FAIR (PEG)
TECHM
₹1,504.40 Hold MAINTAINING 61 FAIR (PEG)
TITAN
₹4,513.00 Hold MAINTAINING 72 EXPENSIVE (PEG)
TRENT
₹4,242.80 Hold MAINTAINING 66 EXPENSIVE (PEG)
ULTRACEMCO
₹11,917.00 Hold MAINTAINING 69 FAIR (EV_EBITDA)

US Tech 6 Fund

Six US tech stocks (TSLA, META, AAPL, GOOGL, MU, MSFT), conviction-weighted by AI. Benchmarked against an equal-weight buy-and-hold of the same six stocks — zero selection bias, only weighting differs.

Max stock weight: 25%
104.65 Fund NAV
104.72 Benchmark NAV
-0.06% Cumulative Alpha
49 Trading Days
1/6 Buy
17 Rebalances
61.0% Cum. Turnover

Current Holdings

Exposure per $100 invested at inception (current NAV: 104.65). Sorted by allocation.

Stock Exposure Price Signal Status Conviction Valuation
MU
$26.12
$451.33 Buy MAINTAINING 92 CHEAP (PEG)
AAPL
$15.99
$273.57 Sell MAINTAINING 61 EXPENSIVE (PE)
MSFT
$15.76
$421.73 Hold MAINTAINING 74 FAIR (PEG)
GOOGL
$15.70
$339.54 Hold MAINTAINING 70 FAIR (PEG)
TSLA
$15.55
$394.30 Sell WEAK 64 EXPENSIVE (PEG)
META
$15.53
$676.73 Hold MAINTAINING 70 FAIR (PEG)

Defence Electronics (India)

4 Indian defence electronics companies (Data Patterns, Paras Defence, Zen Technologies, MTAR Technologies), conviction-weighted by AI thesis analysis. Benchmarked against the BSE Sensex — tests whether theme-driven stock selection outperforms the broad market.

Max stock weight: 33%
Early stage. Metrics become meaningful after ~30 trading days. Currently day 25. Alpha, Sharpe, and Win Rate will appear as data accumulates.
123.41 Fund NAV
108.01 Benchmark NAV
+14.26% Cumulative Alpha
25 Trading Days
0/4 Buy
5 Rebalances
36.9% Cum. Turnover

Current Holdings

Exposure per ₹100 invested at inception (current NAV: 123.41). Sorted by allocation.

Stock Exposure Price Signal Status Conviction Valuation
ZENTEC
₹32.46
₹1,643.90 Hold MAINTAINING 62 FAIR (PEG)
MTARTECH
₹30.83
₹4,942.00 Hold MAINTAINING 65 EXPENSIVE (PEG)
PARAS
₹30.35
₹781.50 Hold MAINTAINING 73 EXPENSIVE (PEG)
DATAPATTNS
₹29.78
₹3,467.60 Hold MAINTAINING 70 FAIR (PEG)

Ankur's Portfolio

Ankur's personal portfolio of 30 Indian stocks, conviction-weighted by AI thesis analysis. Benchmarked against an equal-weight buy-and-hold of the same stocks — measures whether AI signal-driven weighting outperforms naive equal allocation.

Max stock weight: 20%
109.28 Fund NAV
106.08 Benchmark NAV
+3.01% Cumulative Alpha
37 Trading Days
10/30 Buy
18 Rebalances
250.0% Cum. Turnover

Current Holdings

Exposure per ₹100 invested at inception (current NAV: 109.28). Sorted by allocation.

Stock Exposure Price Signal Status Conviction Valuation
IDEA
₹14.08
₹9.47 Buy STRONG 88 FAIR (EV_EBITDA)
HBLENGINE
₹11.86
₹775.40 Buy MAINTAINING 74 CHEAP (PEG)
MARUTI
₹11.68
₹13,450.00 Buy MAINTAINING 73 EXPENSIVE (EV_EBITDA)
SARDAEN
₹11.04
₹583.90 Buy MAINTAINING 69 EXPENSIVE (EV_EBITDA)
HINDALCO
₹10.85
₹1,015.25 Buy MAINTAINING 67 EXPENSIVE (EV_EBITDA)
CAPLIPOINT
₹10.23
₹1,754.20 Buy MAINTAINING 64 CHEAP (PEG)
CERA
₹10.15
₹5,306.40 Buy MAINTAINING 63 CHEAP (PE)
STEELCAS
₹10.08
₹298.32 Buy MAINTAINING 63 EXPENSIVE (EV_EBITDA)
ACCELYA
₹10.03
₹1,196.20 Buy MAINTAINING 62 CHEAP (PE)
TANLA
₹9.27
₹482.65 Buy MAINTAINING 58 CHEAP (PEG)
ADANIPORTS
₹1,578.40 Hold MAINTAINING 73 FAIR (PEG)
AGARIND
₹445.15 Hold MAINTAINING 56 CHEAP (EV_EBITDA)
524634
₹562.30 Hold MAINTAINING 61 FAIR (EV_EBITDA)
CDSL
₹1,370.30 Hold MAINTAINING 65 EXPENSIVE (PEG)
COALINDIA
₹441.75 Hold MAINTAINING 69 FAIR (PE·PEG)
522017
₹757.95 Hold MAINTAINING 61 FAIR (EV_EBITDA)
GRAVITA
₹1,648.40 Hold MAINTAINING 65 FAIR (PEG)
INDHOTEL
₹659.50 Hold MAINTAINING 61 EXPENSIVE (PEG)
INDIGO
₹4,678.20 Sell BROKEN 25 FAIR (EV_EBITDA)
KOTHARIPET
₹138.60 Hold WEAK 54 FAIR (EV_EBITDA)
NH
₹1,800.20 Hold MAINTAINING 67 FAIR (PEG)
OBEROIRLTY
₹1,694.90 Hold MAINTAINING 66 FAIR (EV_EBITDA)
PRESTIGE
₹1,373.80 Hold MAINTAINING 78 EXPENSIVE (PEG)
PVRINOX
₹939.30 Hold MAINTAINING 72 CHEAP (EV_EBITDA)
518075
₹229.50 Hold MAINTAINING 58 FAIR (EV_EBITDA)
TMCV
₹438.40 Hold MAINTAINING 73 CHEAP (EV_EBITDA)
TMPV
₹355.70 Hold MAINTAINING 80 FAIR (EV_EBITDA)
TINNARUBR
₹712.85 Hold MAINTAINING 60 FAIR (EV_EBITDA)
524717
₹469.40 Hold MAINTAINING 57 EXPENSIVE (PEG)
WONDERLA
₹529.45 Hold MAINTAINING 66 EXPENSIVE (PE)

Ankur's US Stocks

Ankur's personal US portfolio (MSFT, GOOGL, IREN, OKLO, SOFI, TSM), conviction-weighted by AI. Benchmarked against an equal-weight buy-and-hold of the same stocks.

Max stock weight: 25%
107.56 Fund NAV
106.59 Benchmark NAV
+0.91% Cumulative Alpha
37 Trading Days
0/7 Buy
11 Rebalances
78.0% Cum. Turnover

Current Holdings

Exposure per $100 invested at inception (current NAV: 107.56). Sorted by allocation.

Stock Exposure Price Signal Status Conviction Valuation
OKLO
$16.62
$66.09 Hold MAINTAINING 89
SOFI
$15.99
$19.45 Hold MAINTAINING 79 EXPENSIVE (PB)
MSFT
$15.80
$421.73 Hold MAINTAINING 74 FAIR (PEG)
IREN
$15.15
$48.72 Hold MAINTAINING 76 EXPENSIVE (PB)
GOOGL
$15.02
$339.54 Hold MAINTAINING 70 FAIR (PEG)
AMZN
$14.66
$247.92 Hold MAINTAINING 86 EXPENSIVE (PEG)
TSM
$14.32
$369.47 Hold MAINTAINING 83 FAIR (PEG)

Methodology, Assumptions & Disclosures

How the fund is constructed, what we measure, and what you should know.

Portfolio Construction

Each fund holds all constituent stocks at all times — there is no cash allocation. Stocks are classified into two tiers based on their AI-generated decision signal:

  • Active positions ("Buy" signal): Weighted proportionally to their conviction scores, with a per-fund maximum weight cap. Excess weight above the cap is redistributed proportionally among uncapped active positions.
  • Passive positions ("Hold" or "Sell" signal): The residual portfolio allocation (1 minus the sum of active weights) is divided equally among all passive stocks.

When zero stocks carry "Buy," all constituents receive equal weight.

FundStocksMax Weight
BSE Sensex 303020%
US Tech 6625%
Defence Electronics (India)433%

Theme funds use a higher cap because concentrated portfolios with 4–5 stocks need each position to be meaningful. The cap prevents any single stock from dominating the fund while still allowing conviction to drive allocation.

Decision Signal Matrix

Each stock's decision signal is determined by crossing its thesis status (derived from AI analysis of corporate news against four investment assumptions) with its valuation zone (derived from archetype-specific financial metrics):

Cheap Fair Expensive
Strong Buy Buy Hold
Maintaining Buy Hold Hold
Weak Hold Sell Sell
Broken Sell Sell Sell

Thesis status is a worst-case rollup of four assumption health scores. Each assumption is scored 0–100 by cross-referencing daily corporate news against pre-defined investment theses. ≥70 = Holding, 20–69 = At Risk, <20 = Broken. All assumptions Holding → Strong; any At Risk → Maintaining; any non-critical Broken → Weak; any critical Broken → Broken.

NAV Computation

Net Asset Value starts at 100.00 on the inception date (T+0) and is updated daily after market close:

NAVt = NAVt−1 × (1 + Σ wi,t−1 × ri,t)

where:

  • wi,t−1 = weight of stock i at yesterday's close (no look-ahead bias)
  • ri,t = price return of stock i today: (Ptoday − Pyesterday) / Pyesterday

Weights are determined at each day's close and take effect for the following day's return calculation. This eliminates look-ahead bias.

Benchmark Methodology

BSE Sensex 30 Fund

Benchmarked against the S&P BSE Sensex index, rebased to 100 on T+0. The fund universe exactly equals the benchmark constituency (all 30 Sensex stocks), eliminating stock-selection bias. Any outperformance is attributable solely to the AI's conviction-weighted allocation versus the Sensex's free-float market-cap weighting.

Benchmark NAVt = 100 × (Sensext / SensexT0)

US Tech 6 Fund

Benchmarked against an equal-weight buy-and-hold portfolio of the same six stocks (TSLA, META, AAPL, GOOGL, MU, MSFT). Each stock starts at 16.67% on T+0 and is never rebalanced — weights drift freely with price movement. This benchmark answers: does AI-driven conviction weighting beat naïve equal allocation of the same stocks?

Defence Electronics (India) — Theme Fund

Benchmarked against the BSE Sensex, rebased to 100 on the fund's own inception date. Unlike the BSE 30, this is a stock-selection test: the fund holds 4 defence companies that are not in the Sensex. Outperformance = the AI's theme-driven picks (and weighting) beat the broad Indian market.

Benchmark NAVt = 100 × (Sensext / Sensexfund T0)

Theme Fund: Stock Selection

Theme funds test a core thesis: can the AI identify secular themes and pick the companies riding them before the market recognises them?

The Defence Electronics (India) fund was constructed through the following process:

  1. Theme identification: India's defence indigenisation push was identified as a structural, multi-year growth theme backed by verified government disbursement data (₹3L Cr defence production target by FY29, exports at 31× pre-2013 levels).
  2. Company mapping: Small-cap companies (≤₹15,000 Cr market cap) with direct exposure to the theme were identified via industry reports, PLI beneficiary lists, and earnings data.
  3. Governance gate: Companies were screened for Piotroski F-Score (>3), promoter pledge (<15%), and accounting quality.
  4. Management quality: Founder-led status, capital allocation discipline, margin stability, and earnings call candour were evaluated.

The same AI thesis engine (KB generation → archetype assignment → thesis generation → daily news grading) that runs for BSE 30 and US 6 stocks monitors these companies daily. Conviction scores, decision signals, and rebalancing follow identical rules.

Rebalancing Rules

The portfolio is rebalanced when either of two conditions is met:

  • Signal change: Any stock's decision signal changes from the previous day (e.g., Hold → Buy, or Buy → Sell).
  • Drift threshold: Any stock's actual weight (after daily price drift) deviates more than 2 percentage points from its target weight.

There is no calendar-based rebalancing (e.g., monthly or quarterly). On a signal downgrade from "Buy," the stock's active position is fully sold to passive residual weight. On days without a rebalance trigger, weights drift freely with price movement.

Performance Metrics

Alpha

Arithmetic difference between cumulative portfolio return and cumulative benchmark return. Reported as cumulative since inception. CAGR is reported only after ≥90 trading days:

CAGR = (NAVt / NAV0)252/n − 1

Sharpe Ratio (shown after ≥60 trading days)

Measures risk-adjusted return. Computed as annualized excess return over the risk-free rate, divided by annualized volatility of daily portfolio returns.

Sharpe = (Rp − Rf) / σp

Risk-free rates: 6.5% annualized for BSE 30 (India 91-day T-bill); 5.0% for US 6 (US 3-month T-bill). Updated quarterly.

SharpeInterpretation
< 0.5Below average
0.5 – 1.0Decent
1.0 – 2.0Very good
> 2.0Exceptional

Monthly Win Rate

Percentage of complete calendar months in which the fund's return exceeded the benchmark's return. Stub months (partial first/last month) are excluded.

Win RateInterpretation
< 45%Lumpy
55 – 65%Good
> 65%Exceptional

Assumptions & Limitations

  • Gross price returns only. Returns exclude dividends for both the fund and its benchmark. The Sensex index used for benchmarking also excludes dividends, so alpha comparison is fair on a like-for-like basis.
  • No transaction costs deducted. All returns shown are gross of trading costs. Estimated round-trip transaction cost is 30–40 basis points per trade. Actual turnover is tracked and reported daily.
  • Paper fund — no real capital deployed. These are simulated portfolios. No actual trades are executed. There is no slippage, market impact, or liquidity constraint applied. Results may differ materially from a live portfolio, particularly for less liquid stocks or during periods of market stress.

Important Disclosure

This fund tracker is published for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a solicitation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. ZetaVantage Research is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or portfolio manager.

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Simulated or model results have inherent limitations and do not represent actual trading. No representation is made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.

All investment decisions should be made based on your own due diligence and consultation with a qualified financial professional.