AI-Native Quant Hedge Fund
36 stocks across US & Indian markets, chosen by me (a human) for high-conviction growth potential. We measure whether AI-driven thesis analysis can predict stock direction and beat the benchmark — live, in public, with every call timestamped.
Two conviction-weighted funds. All returns computed daily from timestamped signals — no hindsight, no look-ahead.
Pipeline runs daily at 5:00 PM IST, 7 days a week. NAV updates on trading days; conviction scores refresh daily.
BSE Sensex 30 Fund
All 30 BSE Sensex constituents, conviction-weighted by AI thesis analysis. Benchmarked against the Sensex index — same stocks, only weighting differs.
Max stock weight: 20%Current Holdings
Exposure per ₹100 invested at inception (current NAV: 99.26). Sorted by allocation.
| Stock | Exposure | Price | Signal | Status | Conviction | Valuation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LT |
₹14.44
|
₹4,051.00 | Buy | STRONG | 79 | FAIR (PE) |
| TCS |
₹14.16
|
₹2,579.60 | Buy | MAINTAINING | 77 | CHEAP (PE) |
| TATASTEEL |
₹13.93
|
₹211.72 | Buy | MAINTAINING | 76 | EXPENSIVE (EV_EBITDA) |
| MARUTI |
₹13.35
|
₹13,450.00 | Buy | MAINTAINING | 73 | EXPENSIVE (EV_EBITDA) |
| NTPC |
₹13.13
|
₹398.00 | Buy | MAINTAINING | 71 | CHEAP (PEG) |
| BAJFINANCE |
₹12.10
|
₹917.75 | Buy | MAINTAINING | 66 | CHEAP (PB) |
| HDFCBANK |
₹9.10
|
₹795.45 | Buy | MAINTAINING | 50 | CHEAP (PB) |
| ITC |
₹9.05
|
₹305.00 | Buy | MAINTAINING | 49 | CHEAP (PE) |
| ADANIPORTS |
—
|
₹1,578.40 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 73 | FAIR (PEG) |
| ASIANPAINT |
—
|
₹2,516.80 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 58 | FAIR (PE) |
| AXISBANK |
—
|
₹1,354.70 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 64 | FAIR (PB) |
| BAJAJFINSV |
—
|
₹1,830.60 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 64 | FAIR (PEG) |
| BEL |
—
|
₹457.55 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 87 | FAIR (PEG) |
| BHARTIARTL |
—
|
₹1,846.10 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 68 | FAIR (PEG) |
| ETERNAL |
—
|
₹254.88 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 54 | EXPENSIVE (PEG) |
| HCLTECH |
—
|
₹1,428.30 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 65 | FAIR (PE) |
| HINDUNILVR |
—
|
₹2,231.50 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 59 | FAIR (PE·PEG) |
| ICICIBANK |
—
|
₹1,356.20 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 75 | FAIR (PB) |
| INDIGO |
—
|
₹4,678.20 | Sell | BROKEN | 25 | FAIR (EV_EBITDA) |
| INFY |
—
|
₹1,312.60 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 68 | FAIR (PE·PEG) |
| KOTAKBANK |
—
|
₹379.20 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 71 | FAIR (PB) |
| M&M |
—
|
₹3,221.60 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 86 | FAIR (EV_EBITDA) |
| POWERGRID |
—
|
₹319.70 | Sell | MAINTAINING | 72 | EXPENSIVE (PE) |
| RELIANCE |
—
|
₹1,363.30 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 67 | FAIR (PEG) |
| SBIN |
—
|
₹1,107.85 | Sell | MAINTAINING | 68 | EXPENSIVE (PB) |
| SUNPHARMA |
—
|
₹1,668.60 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 65 | FAIR (PEG) |
| TECHM |
—
|
₹1,504.40 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 61 | FAIR (PEG) |
| TITAN |
—
|
₹4,513.00 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 72 | EXPENSIVE (PEG) |
| TRENT |
—
|
₹4,242.80 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 66 | EXPENSIVE (PEG) |
| ULTRACEMCO |
—
|
₹11,917.00 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 69 | FAIR (EV_EBITDA) |
US Tech 6 Fund
Six US tech stocks (TSLA, META, AAPL, GOOGL, MU, MSFT), conviction-weighted by AI. Benchmarked against an equal-weight buy-and-hold of the same six stocks — zero selection bias, only weighting differs.
Max stock weight: 25%Current Holdings
Exposure per $100 invested at inception (current NAV: 104.65). Sorted by allocation.
| Stock | Exposure | Price | Signal | Status | Conviction | Valuation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MU |
$26.12
|
$451.33 | Buy | MAINTAINING | 92 | CHEAP (PEG) |
| AAPL |
$15.99
|
$273.57 | Sell | MAINTAINING | 61 | EXPENSIVE (PE) |
| MSFT |
$15.76
|
$421.73 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 74 | FAIR (PEG) |
| GOOGL |
$15.70
|
$339.54 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 70 | FAIR (PEG) |
| TSLA |
$15.55
|
$394.30 | Sell | WEAK | 64 | EXPENSIVE (PEG) |
| META |
$15.53
|
$676.73 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 70 | FAIR (PEG) |
Defence Electronics (India)
4 Indian defence electronics companies (Data Patterns, Paras Defence, Zen Technologies, MTAR Technologies), conviction-weighted by AI thesis analysis. Benchmarked against the BSE Sensex — tests whether theme-driven stock selection outperforms the broad market.
Max stock weight: 33%Current Holdings
Exposure per ₹100 invested at inception (current NAV: 123.41). Sorted by allocation.
| Stock | Exposure | Price | Signal | Status | Conviction | Valuation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZENTEC |
₹32.46
|
₹1,643.90 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 62 | FAIR (PEG) |
| MTARTECH |
₹30.83
|
₹4,942.00 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 65 | EXPENSIVE (PEG) |
| PARAS |
₹30.35
|
₹781.50 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 73 | EXPENSIVE (PEG) |
| DATAPATTNS |
₹29.78
|
₹3,467.60 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 70 | FAIR (PEG) |
Ankur's Portfolio
Ankur's personal portfolio of 30 Indian stocks, conviction-weighted by AI thesis analysis. Benchmarked against an equal-weight buy-and-hold of the same stocks — measures whether AI signal-driven weighting outperforms naive equal allocation.
Max stock weight: 20%Current Holdings
Exposure per ₹100 invested at inception (current NAV: 109.28). Sorted by allocation.
| Stock | Exposure | Price | Signal | Status | Conviction | Valuation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IDEA |
₹14.08
|
₹9.47 | Buy | STRONG | 88 | FAIR (EV_EBITDA) |
| HBLENGINE |
₹11.86
|
₹775.40 | Buy | MAINTAINING | 74 | CHEAP (PEG) |
| MARUTI |
₹11.68
|
₹13,450.00 | Buy | MAINTAINING | 73 | EXPENSIVE (EV_EBITDA) |
| SARDAEN |
₹11.04
|
₹583.90 | Buy | MAINTAINING | 69 | EXPENSIVE (EV_EBITDA) |
| HINDALCO |
₹10.85
|
₹1,015.25 | Buy | MAINTAINING | 67 | EXPENSIVE (EV_EBITDA) |
| CAPLIPOINT |
₹10.23
|
₹1,754.20 | Buy | MAINTAINING | 64 | CHEAP (PEG) |
| CERA |
₹10.15
|
₹5,306.40 | Buy | MAINTAINING | 63 | CHEAP (PE) |
| STEELCAS |
₹10.08
|
₹298.32 | Buy | MAINTAINING | 63 | EXPENSIVE (EV_EBITDA) |
| ACCELYA |
₹10.03
|
₹1,196.20 | Buy | MAINTAINING | 62 | CHEAP (PE) |
| TANLA |
₹9.27
|
₹482.65 | Buy | MAINTAINING | 58 | CHEAP (PEG) |
| ADANIPORTS |
—
|
₹1,578.40 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 73 | FAIR (PEG) |
| AGARIND |
—
|
₹445.15 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 56 | CHEAP (EV_EBITDA) |
| 524634 |
—
|
₹562.30 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 61 | FAIR (EV_EBITDA) |
| CDSL |
—
|
₹1,370.30 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 65 | EXPENSIVE (PEG) |
| COALINDIA |
—
|
₹441.75 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 69 | FAIR (PE·PEG) |
| 522017 |
—
|
₹757.95 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 61 | FAIR (EV_EBITDA) |
| GRAVITA |
—
|
₹1,648.40 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 65 | FAIR (PEG) |
| INDHOTEL |
—
|
₹659.50 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 61 | EXPENSIVE (PEG) |
| INDIGO |
—
|
₹4,678.20 | Sell | BROKEN | 25 | FAIR (EV_EBITDA) |
| KOTHARIPET |
—
|
₹138.60 | Hold | WEAK | 54 | FAIR (EV_EBITDA) |
| NH |
—
|
₹1,800.20 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 67 | FAIR (PEG) |
| OBEROIRLTY |
—
|
₹1,694.90 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 66 | FAIR (EV_EBITDA) |
| PRESTIGE |
—
|
₹1,373.80 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 78 | EXPENSIVE (PEG) |
| PVRINOX |
—
|
₹939.30 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 72 | CHEAP (EV_EBITDA) |
| 518075 |
—
|
₹229.50 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 58 | FAIR (EV_EBITDA) |
| TMCV |
—
|
₹438.40 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 73 | CHEAP (EV_EBITDA) |
| TMPV |
—
|
₹355.70 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 80 | FAIR (EV_EBITDA) |
| TINNARUBR |
—
|
₹712.85 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 60 | FAIR (EV_EBITDA) |
| 524717 |
—
|
₹469.40 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 57 | EXPENSIVE (PEG) |
| WONDERLA |
—
|
₹529.45 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 66 | EXPENSIVE (PE) |
Ankur's US Stocks
Ankur's personal US portfolio (MSFT, GOOGL, IREN, OKLO, SOFI, TSM), conviction-weighted by AI. Benchmarked against an equal-weight buy-and-hold of the same stocks.
Max stock weight: 25%Current Holdings
Exposure per $100 invested at inception (current NAV: 107.56). Sorted by allocation.
| Stock | Exposure | Price | Signal | Status | Conviction | Valuation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKLO |
$16.62
|
$66.09 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 89 | — |
| SOFI |
$15.99
|
$19.45 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 79 | EXPENSIVE (PB) |
| MSFT |
$15.80
|
$421.73 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 74 | FAIR (PEG) |
| IREN |
$15.15
|
$48.72 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 76 | EXPENSIVE (PB) |
| GOOGL |
$15.02
|
$339.54 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 70 | FAIR (PEG) |
| AMZN |
$14.66
|
$247.92 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 86 | EXPENSIVE (PEG) |
| TSM |
$14.32
|
$369.47 | Hold | MAINTAINING | 83 | FAIR (PEG) |
Methodology, Assumptions & Disclosures
How the fund is constructed, what we measure, and what you should know.
Portfolio Construction
Each fund holds all constituent stocks at all times — there is no cash allocation. Stocks are classified into two tiers based on their AI-generated decision signal:
- Active positions ("Buy" signal): Weighted proportionally to their conviction scores, with a per-fund maximum weight cap. Excess weight above the cap is redistributed proportionally among uncapped active positions.
- Passive positions ("Hold" or "Sell" signal): The residual portfolio allocation (1 minus the sum of active weights) is divided equally among all passive stocks.
When zero stocks carry "Buy," all constituents receive equal weight.
| Fund | Stocks | Max Weight |
|---|---|---|
| BSE Sensex 30 | 30 | 20% |
| US Tech 6 | 6 | 25% |
| Defence Electronics (India) | 4 | 33% |
Theme funds use a higher cap because concentrated portfolios with 4–5 stocks need each position to be meaningful. The cap prevents any single stock from dominating the fund while still allowing conviction to drive allocation.
Decision Signal Matrix
Each stock's decision signal is determined by crossing its thesis status (derived from AI analysis of corporate news against four investment assumptions) with its valuation zone (derived from archetype-specific financial metrics):
| Cheap | Fair | Expensive | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strong | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Maintaining | Buy | Hold | Hold |
| Weak | Hold | Sell | Sell |
| Broken | Sell | Sell | Sell |
Thesis status is a worst-case rollup of four assumption health scores. Each assumption is scored 0–100 by cross-referencing daily corporate news against pre-defined investment theses. ≥70 = Holding, 20–69 = At Risk, <20 = Broken. All assumptions Holding → Strong; any At Risk → Maintaining; any non-critical Broken → Weak; any critical Broken → Broken.
NAV Computation
Net Asset Value starts at 100.00 on the inception date (T+0) and is updated daily after market close:
where:
- wi,t−1 = weight of stock i at yesterday's close (no look-ahead bias)
- ri,t = price return of stock i today: (Ptoday − Pyesterday) / Pyesterday
Weights are determined at each day's close and take effect for the following day's return calculation. This eliminates look-ahead bias.
Benchmark Methodology
BSE Sensex 30 Fund
Benchmarked against the S&P BSE Sensex index, rebased to 100 on T+0. The fund universe exactly equals the benchmark constituency (all 30 Sensex stocks), eliminating stock-selection bias. Any outperformance is attributable solely to the AI's conviction-weighted allocation versus the Sensex's free-float market-cap weighting.
US Tech 6 Fund
Benchmarked against an equal-weight buy-and-hold portfolio of the same six stocks (TSLA, META, AAPL, GOOGL, MU, MSFT). Each stock starts at 16.67% on T+0 and is never rebalanced — weights drift freely with price movement. This benchmark answers: does AI-driven conviction weighting beat naïve equal allocation of the same stocks?
Defence Electronics (India) — Theme Fund
Benchmarked against the BSE Sensex, rebased to 100 on the fund's own inception date. Unlike the BSE 30, this is a stock-selection test: the fund holds 4 defence companies that are not in the Sensex. Outperformance = the AI's theme-driven picks (and weighting) beat the broad Indian market.
Theme Fund: Stock Selection
Theme funds test a core thesis: can the AI identify secular themes and pick the companies riding them before the market recognises them?
The Defence Electronics (India) fund was constructed through the following process:
- Theme identification: India's defence indigenisation push was identified as a structural, multi-year growth theme backed by verified government disbursement data (₹3L Cr defence production target by FY29, exports at 31× pre-2013 levels).
- Company mapping: Small-cap companies (≤₹15,000 Cr market cap) with direct exposure to the theme were identified via industry reports, PLI beneficiary lists, and earnings data.
- Governance gate: Companies were screened for Piotroski F-Score (>3), promoter pledge (<15%), and accounting quality.
- Management quality: Founder-led status, capital allocation discipline, margin stability, and earnings call candour were evaluated.
The same AI thesis engine (KB generation → archetype assignment → thesis generation → daily news grading) that runs for BSE 30 and US 6 stocks monitors these companies daily. Conviction scores, decision signals, and rebalancing follow identical rules.
Rebalancing Rules
The portfolio is rebalanced when either of two conditions is met:
- Signal change: Any stock's decision signal changes from the previous day (e.g., Hold → Buy, or Buy → Sell).
- Drift threshold: Any stock's actual weight (after daily price drift) deviates more than 2 percentage points from its target weight.
There is no calendar-based rebalancing (e.g., monthly or quarterly). On a signal downgrade from "Buy," the stock's active position is fully sold to passive residual weight. On days without a rebalance trigger, weights drift freely with price movement.
Performance Metrics
Alpha
Arithmetic difference between cumulative portfolio return and cumulative benchmark return. Reported as cumulative since inception. CAGR is reported only after ≥90 trading days:
Sharpe Ratio (shown after ≥60 trading days)
Measures risk-adjusted return. Computed as annualized excess return over the risk-free rate, divided by annualized volatility of daily portfolio returns.
Risk-free rates: 6.5% annualized for BSE 30 (India 91-day T-bill); 5.0% for US 6 (US 3-month T-bill). Updated quarterly.
| Sharpe | Interpretation |
|---|---|
| < 0.5 | Below average |
| 0.5 – 1.0 | Decent |
| 1.0 – 2.0 | Very good |
| > 2.0 | Exceptional |
Monthly Win Rate
Percentage of complete calendar months in which the fund's return exceeded the benchmark's return. Stub months (partial first/last month) are excluded.
| Win Rate | Interpretation |
|---|---|
| < 45% | Lumpy |
| 55 – 65% | Good |
| > 65% | Exceptional |
Assumptions & Limitations
- Gross price returns only. Returns exclude dividends for both the fund and its benchmark. The Sensex index used for benchmarking also excludes dividends, so alpha comparison is fair on a like-for-like basis.
- No transaction costs deducted. All returns shown are gross of trading costs. Estimated round-trip transaction cost is 30–40 basis points per trade. Actual turnover is tracked and reported daily.
- Paper fund — no real capital deployed. These are simulated portfolios. No actual trades are executed. There is no slippage, market impact, or liquidity constraint applied. Results may differ materially from a live portfolio, particularly for less liquid stocks or during periods of market stress.
Important Disclosure
This fund tracker is published for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a solicitation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. ZetaVantage Research is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or portfolio manager.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Simulated or model results have inherent limitations and do not represent actual trading. No representation is made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.
All investment decisions should be made based on your own due diligence and consultation with a qualified financial professional.