Investment Thesis

Strong — all assumptions holding Maintaining — minor concerns, thesis intact Weak — key assumptions under pressure Broken — critical assumption invalidated
Status STRONG
Conviction 73 / 100
Time Horizon 3-5 years
Over a 3-5 year horizon, Waaree Renewable Technologies Ltd will deliver substantial shareholder returns by maintaining its leadership in solar EPC, expanding into BESS and Green Hydrogen, and leveraging its integrated supply chain, driven by India's renewable energy policy tailwinds.

Conviction History

Assumptions

Holding — assumption intact At Risk — evidence weakening Broken — assumption invalidated Critical — if broken, thesis fails
#1 CRITICAL HOLDING 74

WRTL will secure new EPC orders totaling at least 5 GW annually, coupled with successful execution of its existing 2.92 GWp order book, driving revenue growth above 40% CAGR over the next 3-5 years.

GROWTH 70% VOLUME 30%
#2 CRITICAL HOLDING 77

EBITDA margins will remain above 20% driven by parent company's supply chain integration for modules and diversification into higher-margin BESS/Green Hydrogen projects.

COGS 50% PRICING 50%
#3 CRITICAL HOLDING 70

The company will maintain a net cash position or debt-to-equity ratio below 0.1x, reflecting its asset-light model and strong operating cash flow generation.

DEBT 100%
#4 HOLDING 70

Inventory days will remain below 30 days and CAPEX will be primarily directed towards BESS and Green Hydrogen expansion, reflecting efficient working capital management and strategic investment focus.

CAPEX 50% INVENTORY 50%
#5 HOLDING 70

No material governance failures, regulatory shutdowns, or fraud allegations will emerge.

GOING_CONCERN 100%

Recent Developments

Structural Tactical
GROWTH STRUCTURAL Feb 20, 2026

Andhra secures India's largest battery Gigafactory by Waaree Energies - Business Standard

Waaree Energies secured land in Andhra Pradesh for India's largest battery Gigafactory, supporting WRTL's expansion into Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS).

GOING_CONCERN STRUCTURAL Feb 10, 2026

Sinovoltaics publishes fourth edition PV manufacturer financial ranking - Solarbytes

Ranked second globally in Sinovoltaics 2025 financial stability report with an Altman Z-Score of 13.6, placing it deep in the 'Safe Zone'.

Investor Documents