Usha Martin Ltd
Investment Thesis
Over a 3-5 year horizon, Usha Martin will achieve sustainable profitability and moderate revenue growth, driven by its strengthened balance sheet and leading positions in niche specialty steel and wire rope markets.
Assumptions
Usha Martin's Net Debt/EBITDA will be maintained below 1.5x over the next 3-5 years, supported by consistent operating cash flow generation and disciplined capital allocation.
Specialty steel and wire rope revenue will grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 8-10% over the next 3-5 years, fueled by increasing domestic infrastructure spending and steady global demand from mining and oil & gas sectors.
Gross margins will expand by approximately 200 basis points over the next 3 years through a strategic shift to higher-value specialty products and improved cost pass-through for specialized grades, effectively navigating raw material price volatility.
Capital expenditure will be maintained at 4-5% of annual revenue, primarily for maintenance and efficiency upgrades, ensuring operational stability and product quality without increasing leverage.
The company will not experience any material governance failures, fraud allegations, or regulatory shutdowns, ensuring continued operational integrity and investor trust.
Recent Developments
US-India interim trade agreement removes 25% additional steel tariffs, directly benefiting high-margin wire rope exports.
US-India interim trade agreement removes 25% additional steel tariffs, directly benefiting high-margin wire rope exports.
US-India interim trade agreement removes 25% additional steel tariffs, directly benefiting Usha Martin's high-margin wire rope exports.