Seshaasai Technologies Ltd
Investment Thesis
Over a 3-5 year horizon, Seshaasai Technologies Ltd will achieve sustained revenue growth and margin expansion, capturing increased market share in India's BFSI technology solutions sector due to strong secular tailwinds, its integrated offerings, high customer switching costs, and prudent financial management.
Assumptions
Seshaasai's payment solutions revenue will grow at a CAGR of 20-25% over the next 3-5 years, driven by continued strong adoption of UPI and increasing financial inclusion initiatives in India.
The company will increase its market share in credit/debit card issuance to over 35% by FY28, supported by its strong client relationships and competitive pricing strategy.
EBITDA margins will expand from ~27% to over 30% by FY28, driven by operating leverage from scale, successful price pass-through for select inputs, and increasing contribution from higher-margin IoT solutions.
Capital expenditure for capacity expansion, including metal cards and IoT devices, will be executed within planned budgets, supporting future revenue growth without excessive leverage.
Debt-to-Equity ratio will be maintained below 0.4x, reflecting continued prudent leverage management post-IPO deleveraging.
No significant governance issues or existential regulatory breaches will occur that could jeopardize operations or market standing.