Sarda Energy & Minerals Ltd
Investment Thesis
Over a 3-5 year horizon, Sarda Energy & Minerals Ltd will outperform its peers by leveraging its deeply integrated cost structure and expanding capacity in its resilient energy and metals businesses.
Assumptions
SEML will achieve consolidated revenue CAGR of at least 15% over the next 3-5 years, driven by increased mining output and energy segment expansion.
SEML's operating margins will remain above 35% driven by captive mining cost efficiencies and favorable energy pricing, offsetting input cost volatility.
SEML's Net Debt/EBITDA will remain below 1.0x over the next 3-5 years, supported by strong cash flow generation from its diversified operations.
SEML will successfully execute its stated CAPEX plans for mining and power capacity expansion, with total CAPEX spending averaging at least ₹500 crore annually over the next 3-5 years.
No material governance failures, regulatory shutdowns, or existential threats will arise, allowing SEML to continue operations uninterrupted.
Inventory levels will be efficiently managed, with inventory days remaining stable or declining, not posing a drag on working capital.
Recent Developments
Sarda Energy targets ₹2,000 crore EBITDA in FY26 - BusinessLine
Sarda Energy commissioned 24.9-MW hydropower project with a 40-year PPA and aims to scale coal production to 5.51 mt to reach ₹2,000 crore EBITDA target.
9M FY26 PAT surged 59% YoY to ₹954 crore; two new Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) signed to stabilize energy segment earnings.
SEML's Strategic Moves Boost Profit Amid Challenges - Devdiscourse
9M FY26 PAT surged 59% YoY to ₹954 crore; two new Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) signed to enhance earnings stability and energy segment contribution.