Investment Thesis

Strong — all assumptions holding Maintaining — minor concerns, thesis intact Weak — key assumptions under pressure Broken — critical assumption invalidated
Status STRONG
Conviction 70 / 100
Time Horizon 3-5 years
Over a 3-5 year horizon, Sammaan Capital will achieve sustainable profitability and market share recovery in the Indian affordable housing finance segment due to successful strategic repositioning under new ownership, improved asset quality, and favorable market dynamics.

Conviction History

Assumptions

Holding — assumption intact At Risk — evidence weakening Broken — assumption invalidated Critical — if broken, thesis fails
#1 CRITICAL HOLDING 70

Regulatory approvals for the change in control by International Holding Company (IHC) will be secured within the next 12 months, enabling the implementation of the new strategic direction.

GOING_CONCERN 100%
#2 HOLDING 70

Loan disbursement volumes will grow by at least 10% annually from FY26 onwards, outpacing market growth in the affordable housing segment, driven by government housing schemes like PMAY.

VOLUME 100%
#3 CRITICAL HOLDING 70

Net Interest Margins (NIM) will stabilize and increase to at least 5.8% by FY28, driven by a higher proportion of retail loans and successful repricing, counteracting increased funding costs.

COGS 50% PRICING 50%
#4 HOLDING 70

Debt to Equity ratio will be maintained below 2.5x through FY28, supported by planned equity infusions from new investors and disciplined debt growth, ensuring adequate capital.

DEBT 100%
#5 HOLDING 70

The company's 'Growth AUM' will expand by at least 15% annually over the next three years as the asset-light, technology-enabled model gains traction and operational efficiency improves.

GROWTH 100%

Recent Developments

Structural Tactical
GROWTH STRUCTURAL Feb 17, 2026

IHC to house Sammaan Capital under new global financial services platform - Moneycontrol

International Holding Company (IHC) is housing Sammaan Capital under its newly launched global financial services platform, formalizing the strategic restructuring.

GROWTH STRUCTURAL Feb 13, 2026

Monitoring agency confirmed successful utilization of Rights Issue and QIP proceeds to strengthen capital adequacy for Q3 FY2025-26.

DEBT STRUCTURAL Feb 10, 2026

Sammaan Capital Limited Monitoring Agency Report for Q3 FY2025-26 on Rights Issue and QIP Proceeds - InvestyWise

Monitoring agency report confirms successful utilization of Rights Issue and QIP proceeds for Q3 FY2025-26, strengthening capital adequacy.

Investor Documents