PG Electroplast Ltd
Investment Thesis
Over a 3-5 year horizon, PG Electroplast Ltd will achieve robust revenue growth and margin improvement by capitalizing on India's expanding consumer durables market and government manufacturing incentives, supported by its ODM expertise and capacity expansion.
Conviction History
Assumptions
PGEL's revenue will grow at a CAGR of 15-20% over the next 3-5 years, primarily driven by the expansion of its Product Business segment (ACs, washing machines) and supported by government PLI schemes.
EBITDA margins will expand by 150-200 bps from FY25 levels by FY28, driven by better capacity utilization from new CAPEX, improved product mix, and benefits from scale in the Product Business.
The company will maintain a healthy Debt-to-Equity ratio below 0.40 through FY28, enabling continued funding of aggressive CAPEX plans without significant leverage risk.
Inventory levels (raw material + channel) will be managed to not exceed 60-70 days of sales by Q4 FY27, mitigating margin pressure and improving working capital efficiency.
Annual CAPEX spending will be maintained between INR 500-750 crores through FY28, focused on expanding capacity for the Product Business segment and upgrading manufacturing capabilities.
No material governance failures, fraud allegations, or forced delisting events will occur, ensuring operational continuity and investor confidence.
Recent Developments
Management guided for muted single-digit profit growth in FY26 despite 46% YoY revenue growth, citing inventory build-up and competitive pricing.
PG Electroplast vs Amber Enterprises: Which EMS stock performed better in Q3? - Trade Brains
Q3 FY26 revenue grew 46% YoY to INR 1,412 crore, driven by an 80% surge in the Room Air Conditioner segment due to increased brand outsourcing.
Crisil revised PG Electroplast's credit outlook from 'Negative' to 'Stable' and reaffirmed its A+ rating, supporting its INR 700-750 crore annual CAPEX plan.