Jain Irrigation Systems Ltd
Investment Thesis
Over a 3-5 year horizon, Jain Irrigation Systems Ltd will achieve sustainable profitable growth and significant debt reduction, driven by its leading integrated agribusiness model and continued support from government rural infrastructure schemes.
Assumptions
Debt-to-OPBITDA ratio will decline from approximately 8.3x (as of FY25 reporting) to below 5.0x by FY2027, driven by consistent OPM improvement and net debt reduction.
Revenue from Micro-Irrigation Systems (MIS) and Plastic Pipes segments will grow by 10-15% annually through FY2028, supported by sustained government spending on PMKSY and JJM initiatives.
Operating Profit Margins (OPM) will recover and stabilize in the 13-15% range by FY2026, as input cost pressures (PVC, Polyethylene) ease and the company leverages its market position for better pricing.
Working Capital days (Gross Current Assets) will be reduced to below 180 days by FY2026, achieved through improved receivables collection and disciplined inventory management.
No material governance failures or going-concern events will occur, and promoters will continue to support financial deleveraging plans.
Recent Developments
India-US trade framework reduced cumulative tariffs on plastics and rubber by 32 percentage points, restoring export competitiveness for Indian manufacturers.
Chinese billionaire in talks to buy Netafim - גלובס
Chinese billionaire Haoyu Wang (Dayu Group) in talks to acquire 80% stake in Netafim from Orbia, valued at $1B+.
India and the US established a new trade framework reducing cumulative tariffs on labor-intensive sectors, including plastics and rubber, by 32 percentage points. This move restores the competitiveness of Indian plastic exports against rivals from China and Vietnam, impacting a sector that accounts for approximately one-third of India's total merchandise exports to the US.