Investment Thesis

Strong — all assumptions holding Maintaining — minor concerns, thesis intact Weak — key assumptions under pressure Broken — critical assumption invalidated
Status STRONG
Conviction 73 / 100
Time Horizon 3-5 years
Over a 3-5 year horizon, Edelweiss Financial Services will achieve a sustainable re-rating driven by its successful pivot to a diversified, fee-based income model and significant deleveraging.

Conviction History

Assumptions

Holding — assumption intact At Risk — evidence weakening Broken — assumption invalidated Critical — if broken, thesis fails
#1 CRITICAL HOLDING 70

Corporate net debt to equity ratio will be reduced to below 1.0x and no new material regulatory sanctions will be imposed by the RBI/SEBI over the next 3-5 years.

DEBT 60% GOING_CONCERN 40%
#2 CRITICAL HOLDING 78

Assets Under Management (AUM) in Asset Management and Wealth Management segments will grow at a CAGR of at least 15% over the next 3-5 years, driven by market tailwinds and platform expansion.

GROWTH 60% VOLUME 40%
#3 HOLDING 70

Consolidated Net Profit Margin will improve to over 8% by FY2028, supported by increasing contribution from higher-margin fee-based businesses and improved operating leverage.

COGS 50% PRICING 50%
#4 HOLDING 78

The Capital Business segment (lending) will achieve loan book growth of at least 10% annually while maintaining Gross NPA ratio below 2.0% through prudent risk management.

GROWTH 30% VOLUME 70%
#5 HOLDING 70

Annual capital expenditure (CAPEX) will remain focused on technology and digital infrastructure, not exceeding 5% of total revenue, to support operational efficiency and new service development.

CAPEX 100%

Recent Developments

Structural Tactical
GROWTH TACTICAL Feb 18, 2026

Sunil Singhania-backed Abakkus Flexi Cap Fund hikes stake in Urban Company, SBI, 14 other stocks - The Economic Times

Abakkus Flexi Cap Fund added 25.53 lakh shares of Edelweiss Financial Services to its portfolio in January 2026.

GROWTH TACTICAL Feb 17, 2026

Edelweiss shares soar 10% as Q3 net profit zooms 112% YoY; Carlyle acquires stake in subsidiary for Rs 2,100 cr - MSN

Carlyle Group to acquire majority stake in Nido Home Finance for ₹2,100 Cr, including a ₹1,500 Cr primary capital infusion, as Q3 net profit rose 112% YoY.

GROWTH STRUCTURAL Feb 13, 2026

Carlyle to Acquire Controlling Stake in Nido Home Finance for Rs. 2,100 Crore - Realty Plus Magazine

Carlyle Group to acquire majority stake in Nido Home Finance for ₹2,100 Cr, including a ₹1,500 Cr primary capital infusion.

GROWTH STRUCTURAL Feb 11, 2026

Edelweiss shares soar 10% as Q3 net profit zooms 112% YoY; Carlyle acquires stake in subsidiary for Rs 2,100 cr

Carlyle to invest ₹2,100 Cr in Nido Home Finance for a majority stake, including a ₹1,500 Cr primary infusion. Q3 net profit rose 112% YoY.

Investor Documents