Brookfield Asset Management Ltd.
Investment Thesis
Over a 3-5 year horizon, Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. (BAM) will achieve substantial growth in distributable earnings and shareholder value driven by its leading scale in alternative assets, resilient fee-based revenue model, and strategic positioning in secular growth trends.
Conviction History
Assumptions
Assets Under Management (AUM) will grow at a compounded annual rate of 10%+ driven by secular demand for alternatives, AI infrastructure, and decarbonization investments, leading to Fee-Related Earnings (FRE) growth exceeding 15% annually.
Fee-Related Earnings (FRE) margins will be sustained above 60% through operating leverage and effective cost management, complemented by increasing contributions from performance fees as assets mature.
Financial leverage, measured as Debt/Distributable Earnings, will remain conservatively managed below 2.5x, preserving financial flexibility for growth initiatives and shareholder returns.
Capital expenditures will remain a low percentage of distributable earnings, primarily directed towards technology and operational infrastructure to support the asset-light model, thereby not hindering shareholder returns.
No material governance failures, regulatory shutdowns, or significant management departures will occur, maintaining investor confidence and operational stability.
Recent Developments
Brookfield Asset Management is organizing $1.96 billion in financing for the acquisition of Australia's National Storage REIT and has proposed a $21.00 per share cash acquisition of Peakstone Realty Trust.
Healthscope defaulted on $1.6B debt, triggering receivership and a transition of 31 hospitals to a not-for-profit structure, ending the traditional fee-earning model for these assets.