Addictive Learning Technology Ltd
Investment Thesis
Over a 3-5 year horizon, Addictive Learning Technology will achieve sustainable, profitable growth driven by its specialized EdTech offerings and expansion into international markets, while maintaining a strong balance sheet.
Assumptions
Consolidated revenue will grow at a CAGR of at least 20% over the next 3-5 years, primarily driven by ~30% annual growth in its US/UK export segments and continued demand for specialized AI, Finance, and Law upskilling.
The company will maintain its average selling price (ASP) for premium specialized courses (e.g., LawSikho) growing at least 3-4% annually, supported by perceived value and demonstrable career outcomes, thus preserving gross margins.
Addictive Learning Technology will maintain a debt-free balance sheet (Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00) over the next 3-5 years, funding planned CAPEX and potential acquisitions through operating cash flow or equity.
Planned investments in technology and potential acquisitions will be executed efficiently, with CAPEX not exceeding 10% of annual revenue in any given year, contributing to future scalability and competitive advantage without unduly straining FCF.
The company will avoid material governance issues or existential threats (fraud, regulatory shutdown, delisting), and student financing will remain stable via NBFC partnerships without disruptive policy changes impacting loan availability.
Recent Developments
US-India interim trade deal framework announced, focusing on tariff reductions and reciprocal trade, benefiting services export sectors.