Accelya Solutions India Ltd
Investment Thesis
Over a 3-5 year horizon, Accelya Solutions India Ltd. will sustain robust revenue growth and stable EBITDA margins due to the ongoing recovery and digitalization of the global air transport industry, amplified by its entrenched market position and technological innovation.
Assumptions
Global airline passenger traffic and cargo volumes will grow at a CAGR of at least 8% annually over the next 3-5 years, directly driving Accelya's transaction-based revenue.
Accelya will maintain average EBITDA margins in the 35-38% range, supported by its SaaS model and effective management of skilled talent acquisition costs.
Accelya will remain debt-free, with its Debt-to-Equity ratio staying below 0.5x, ensuring significant financial flexibility.
Accelya's net reported profits will not be significantly eroded by USD/INR and EUR/USD volatility, with the impact of forex fluctuations managed to less than 1% of revenue annually.
No material customer bankruptcies or significant airline sector-wide operational disruptions occur that would impair Accelya's ability to collect receivables or significantly reduce transaction volumes.