Investment Thesis

Strong — all assumptions holding Maintaining — minor concerns, thesis intact Weak — key assumptions under pressure Broken — critical assumption invalidated
Status STRONG
Conviction 70 / 100
Time Horizon 3-5 years
Over a 3-5 year horizon, Titan Biotech Ltd will recover and expand its operating margins by at least 500 bps from FY2025 lows by capitalizing on robust growth in the Indian biotechnology and nutraceutical markets and its established export network, while mitigating input cost pressures.

Conviction History

Assumptions

Holding — assumption intact At Risk — evidence weakening Broken — assumption invalidated Critical — if broken, thesis fails
#1 CRITICAL HOLDING 76

Revenue will grow at a compound annual rate of 12-15% through FY2028, driven by sustained demand from Pharmaceuticals, Nutraceuticals, Food & Beverages, and Agriculture sectors, alongside a ~20% annual expansion in export revenue.

GROWTH 70% VOLUME 30%
#2 CRITICAL HOLDING 65

Operating Profit Margin (OPM) will improve from 16% (FY25) to at least 21% by FY2028, achieved through a combination of modest annual price increases of 2-3% and enhanced operational efficiencies to absorb raw material cost inflation.

COGS 50% PRICING 50%
#3 HOLDING 70

The company will maintain its strong balance sheet, with Debt-to-Equity ratio remaining below 0.10, ensuring financial flexibility.

DEBT 100%
#4 HOLDING 70

Working capital efficiency will improve by 10-15% via better demand forecasting and supply chain management, reducing inventory days and improving cash flow from operations.

INVENTORY 100%
#5 HOLDING 70

No material governance issues, fraud allegations, or significant regulatory sanctions will emerge that disrupt operations or market access.

GOING_CONCERN 100%

Recent Developments

Structural Tactical
VOLUME STRUCTURAL Feb 20, 2026

Emerging Sub-Segments Transforming the Brewer's Yeast Market Landscape - openPR.com

US-India interim trade deal removed 25% additional tariffs on biotech exports, significantly improving net realizations for the company's international business.

GROWTH STRUCTURAL Feb 11, 2026

US-India interim trade deal removes 25% additional tariffs on key exports, significantly improving net realizations for biotech products.

Investor Documents