Investment Thesis

Strong — all assumptions holding Maintaining — minor concerns, thesis intact Weak — key assumptions under pressure Broken — critical assumption invalidated
Status STRONG
Conviction 70 / 100
Time Horizon 3-5 years
Over a 3-5 year horizon, Fluidomat Ltd will achieve sustainable revenue and margin growth, driven by a recovery in key industrial sectors, its proprietary technology, and robust balance sheet.

Assumptions

Holding — assumption intact At Risk — evidence weakening Broken — assumption invalidated Critical — if broken, thesis fails
#1 CRITICAL HOLDING 70

Revenue growth will accelerate to 15-20% annually starting FY2026, driven by recovery in steel, power, and cement sector CAPEX.

GROWTH 40% VOLUME 60%
#2 CRITICAL HOLDING 70

Operating margins will recover to historical averages of ~25% by FY2028, aided by pricing power from proprietary technology and stable raw material costs.

COGS 50% PRICING 50%
#3 HOLDING 70

The company will maintain its zero debt policy, with Debt/EBITDA remaining at 0x and cash surplus to fund R&D and modest CAPEX.

DEBT 100%
#4 HOLDING 70

No material increase in accounts receivable or inventory days beyond the current ~61-day Cash Conversion Cycle will occur, indicating efficient working capital management.

INVENTORY 100%
#5 HOLDING 70

Capital expenditure will remain at historical levels, focused on R&D and foundry maintenance, not requiring external financing.

CAPEX 100%
#6 CRITICAL HOLDING 70

No significant governance issues, regulatory shutdowns, or delisting events will arise, consistent with historical performance and promoter shareholding.

GOING_CONCERN 100%

Recent Developments

Structural Tactical
GROWTH STRUCTURAL Feb 11, 2026

US-India interim trade agreement framework reached, removing 25% additional tariffs on steel and aluminum, likely triggering capex in Fluidomat's core customer sectors.

Investor Documents